Friday, May 2, 2014

Somalia as a Failed State

As we have seen and read about in class, the nature of piracy off the coast of Somalia is somewhat controversial. The articles by Gettleman, Waldo, and Bueger eschew the idea that the Somali pirates are merely motivated by profit and introduce the narrative of the Somali pirates as a type of coast guard, protecting the waters from illegal fishing. Hansen acknowledges this narrative as well, while still identifying greed as the primary motivation for Somali pirates.

However, one point that is not argued is Somalia’s status as a “failed state.” A failed state is one which can no longer carry out basic governmental functions such as education or security (Global Policy Forum). The Fund for Peace, a nonprofit which studies and indexes weak and failing states, has proposed a few guidelines to better identify a failed or failing states. A failed state can be characterized by

·         “loss of physical control of its territory, or of the monopoly on the legitimate use of physical force therein,
·         erosion of legitimate authority to make collective decisions,
·         an inability to provide reasonable public services, and
·         an inability to interact with other states as a full member of the international community.” ("Index FAQ").

The Fund for Peace bases its Failed State Index (FSI) on twelve separate measures and ranks those measures out of ten, resulting in a ranking score out of 120. The Fund’s twelve measures for its Failed State Index are broken down into three subcategories of social, economic, and political and military indicators. In 2013 Somalia had a score over 9.0 for ten of the twelve categories, and Somalia has been number one on the Fund for Peace’s FSI for the last five years (2009-2013).

I found the breakdown of indicators used by the Fund for Peace interesting. The Fund’s indicators focus most strongly on political and military indicators, which comprise six of the twelve measures. I wanted to know if the Fund for Peace acknowledged any environmental reasons for Somalia’s status as a failed state. What I found was that although they are not explicitly identified as “environmental” factors, the Fund does include some environmental indicators in its twelve measures for the FSI.

As mentioned above, the Fund divides its twelve FSI measures into subcategories. Environmental factors do not comprise their own category, but several environmental factors are included under other categories. The social indicators category includes the measures “Mounting Demographic Pressures”, “Massive Movement of Refugees or Internally Displaced Persons”, and “Chronic and Sustained Human Flight.” These all sound very similar to the phenomenon Homer-Dixon termed “ecological marginalization.” Ecological marginalization describes the process whereby people living in resource poor areas move into other resource poor areas, which puts increased strain on the resources and causes them to dry up more quickly. Although chronic and mass movement of people within a state can be caused for different reasons than scarcity, these factors do seem to connect well to the idea of ecological marginalization.


It was gratifying to identify some environmental factors in the FSI’s measures. Like the articles by Gettleman, Waldo, and Bueger, which focused on concerns of illegal fishing, the FSI measures represent an environmental take on what can cause a country to become or continue to be identified as a failed state. I think it would be beneficial and quite interesting for political scientists interested in the environment to include a few explicitly environmental measures as part of the FSI. To start, the Fund for Peace could add a measure for drastic changes in level of rainfall, which we previously learned can be linked to increases in violence (Hendrix & Salehyan). By adding this or other environmental metrics, the Fund for Peace could get a fuller picture of what creates and sustains a failed state like Somalia.



References


"Failed States Index FAQ." Failed States Index FAQ. The Fund for Peace, n.d. Web. 02 May                    2014.

"The Failed States Index 2013." The Fund for Peace. The Fund for Peace, n.d. Web. 01 May                    2014.


"Global Policy Forum." Failed States. Global Policy Forum, n.d. Web. 01 May 2014.

Hendrix, C.S, and I Salehyan. "Climate Change, Rainfall, and Social Conflict in Africa."Journal of 


Peace Research. 49.1 (2012): 35-50. Print.








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